6579( 10) - 03/12/97 14:57  - [  1]

    PROPOSAL FOR HUBBLE SPACE TELESCOPE OBSERVATIONS   ST ScI Use Only
                                                       ID:      6579
                                                       Version: 10
                                                       Check-in Date: 28-Mar-1996
                                                                      19:26:22

1.Proposal Title:
The Cosmic Velocity of the Great Attractor
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2. Scientific Category   3. Proposal For  4. Cycle
COSMOLOGY                   GO               6
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5. Investigators
                                                                                     Contact?
    PI: JOHN L. TONRY                     INSTITUTE FOR ASTRONOMY
   CoI: Edward A. Ajhar                   National Optical Astronomy Observatories      N
   CoI: Jon A. Holtzman                   New Mexico State University                   N
   CoI: Tod R. Lauer                      National Optical Astronomy Observatories      N
   CoI: Marc Postman                      Space Telescope Science Institute             N
   CoI: Alan Dressler                     Observatories of the Carnegie Institution     N
                                          of Washington

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6. Abstract

We request deep WFPC2 images of five galaxies in clusters near the Centaurus Cluster
to determine their distances and peculiar velocities using the Surface Brightness
Fluctuation (SBF) method. We expect to determine whether the Centaurus galaxies are
falling into the "Great Attractor", and distinguish between the claims that there is
convergence of the flow beyond Centaurus (return to CMB rest frame) instead of
continued ~600 km/s bulk flow. Confirmation of the latter would indicate that
coherent peculiar velocities are generated over an enormous scale. HST is required
as the ground-based SBF method becomes impossible beyond 3,000 km/s. The high
spatial resolution of HST permits precise measurement of the SBF signal at very
large distances, and allows easy recognition of globular clusters and background
galaxies in the galaxy images that must be removed prior to SBF detection. The
proposing team developed the SBF method, has worked extensively in the field of
large scale flows, played major roles in the calibration of WFPC and WFPC2, and are
conducting GTO observations which will help validate the zeropoint and application
of the SBF method for local galaxies.
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                                                6579( 10) - 03/12/97 14:57  - [  2]

  Observations Description
  ------------------------

     We will measure distances to these galaxies by obtaining high signal-to-noise
     images and observing their surface brightness fluctuations (SBF), the
     irreduceable mottling of an otherwise smooth galaxy from the finite number of
     stars. This has been described in detail in Tonry (1991) and Jacoby et al.
     (1992). The fundamental idea is simply that the finite number of stars in a
     galaxy gives rise to a measurable bumpiness in its surface brightness, even
     though individual stars remain completely unresolved. The variance is the
     product of the galaxy brightness per pixel and what we refer to as the "average
     luminosity" of the stellar population, the ratio of the second moment of the
     stellar luminosity function to the first, Lbar. Obviously there are many
     sources of pixel-to-pixel noise (variance) in an image of a galaxy such as
     white noise from detector noise and photon statistics, roughness from patchy
     dust obscuration, spiral arms, and inhomogeneous stellar population, bumpiness
     from globular clusters (GCs) or background galaxies, and finally the SBF
     mottling from the Poisson statistics of the finite number of stars in a pixel.
     Photon shot noise only grows as the square root of time, and the SBF signal
     becomes detectable when a source of Lbar contributes more than one photon in an
     image ( i.e., when stellar counting statistics dominate photon counting
     statistics). We apply the SBF method primarily to E and S0 galaxies, which
     avoids problems with dust and spiral arms. Unraveling the third source of
     variance proceeds in two steps. First we identify as many "compact sources"
     (stars, background galaxies, and primarily GCs) as possible and excise them
     from the image. Second, we fit a luminosity function to the sources which we
     found and integrate the extrapolation to fainter magnitudes to determine the
     residual variance left in the image from the unseen sources. The variance from
     the SBF of stars in the galaxy is then the difference between that which is
     measured and the estimate of the residual. The fainter we can identify and
     remove sources, the smaller the residual correction. In practice, if our
     compact source completeness dies out two magnitudes brighter than the peak of
     the GC luminosity function, the resulting SBF measurement is quite uncertain
     because most of the variance in the picture results from the (uncertain)
     residual variance. If we can identify sources all the way to the peak of the GC
     luminosity function, the residual variance is typically only 20% of the net
     variance and it contributes negligible uncertainty. Removal of compact sources
     makes it critical that the images be as sharp as possible. Measurement of SBF
     is accurate and reliable at the distance of Virgo (1300km/s) in 1" seeing, but
     becomes difficult in 1.5" seeing. At the distance of the Great Attractor
     environs (three or four times Virgo), even the best seeing from the ground
     (0.5") becomes inadequate. We believe that our attempts to observe SBF in
     Centaurus (twice Virgo) from the ground have been successful, but we have
     reservations about their reliability, since the seeing (0.75") was barely
     adequate for the distance (2400km/s). However, HST has resolution to spare and
     we should be able to identify GCs significantly fainter than the peak of the
     luminosity function. Although the HST PSF is somewhat undersampled even with
     the PC, we have enough experience with 0.48" pixels in 0.9" seeing at KPNO and
     CTIO to know that this is not a problem with our power spectrum analysis. One
     concern might be PSF spatial variability across the CCD fields; however, this
     is expected to be small within WFPC2, and will be mapped by one of us
     (Holtzman) as part of WFPC2 calibration. In any case, PSF variability can be
     included in the SBF analysis and is not a limiting factor. We further note that
     we will get useful information from both the WF and PC CCDs. Hot pixels had
     been an initial concern with WFPC2, but they are much less important now that
     the operating temperature of WFPC has been lowered, and Holtzman has extensive
     experience with their detection and removal. Further, the observations will be
     dithered to counter any residual hot pixels or PSF-scale flat-fielding errors
     (We find the S/N and quality of the WFPC2 F814W flats as produced so far to be
     more than sufficient for SBF work). A common worry about deriving distances
     from SBF measurements is the extent to which we can predict the absolute
     magnitudes Mbar which correspond to the mbar which we measure. We have found
     empirically that in the I band stellar populations of differing age and
     metallicity vary predictably with overall color, and this has been confirmed
     theoretically (Worthey 1993). As a demonstration of this, Figure 2 shows the
     SBF data we have obtained for the Fornax and Virgo clusters, plotting mbar_I
     against the (V-I) color of the galaxy. It should be noted that these are all of
     the galaxies we have observed in these clusters, without regard for E versus
     S0, presence of dust, specific frequency of GCs (NGC4486, NGC1399, and NGC1316
     appear here), etc. The rms scatter about the stellar population line is only
     0.16 magnitude. In the case of Fornax we typically have 0.14 mag of
     observational error (the median seeing was 1.54"), and Virgo has a significant
     contribution from the depth of the cluster (the core of Virgo has a radius of
     0.1 radian across the line of sight which presumably corresponds to a 10% depth
     as well). These considerations, as well as the repeatability of multiple
     measurements, suggests that with sufficient resolution we routinely achieve a
     distance error of 5% per galaxy. A final concern is how well we understand the
     SBF zero point itself. Ground based application of SBF out to 2,400 km/s has
     yielded an important determination of H_0 (Tonry 1991), and there are vigorous
     ongoing efforts to establish this zero point beyond any doubt. For example, at
     present the SBF zero point is based on Cepheid distances to M31 and M81.
     However the HST key project and SN1a long term project have produced
     preliminary Cepheid distances to 6 other galaxies. The difference between SBF
     and these new Cepheid distances is 0.06 magnitude with a scatter of 0.11
     magnitude, indicating that SBF is indeed very accurate. As these Cepheid
     distances are published our zero point will become firmly tied to the Cepheid
     distance scale. On the theoretical front, the stellar models and calculations
     of Worthey (1993) agree well with our empirical calibration of Mbar_I. We know
     from nearby galaxies in Virgo that the apparent fluctuation magnitude for
     galaxies of (V-I) = 1.20 is 29.64. Based on estimates of the Coma to Virgo
     distance ratio (5.6), the distance to Virgo is 1286 km/s, so mbar_I will be
     31.48 at 3000km/s. In order to achieve full 5% accuracy, it is essential that
     the SBF signal significantly exceed the photon/read noise. Since we will have
     extremely good compact source rejection, experience from ground based
     observations indicates that we can get by with only 5 photons per mbar_I, but
     less than this will seriously compromise the accuracy. WFPC2 with the F814W
     filter detects 1 photon per second from a 23.78 magnitude source, so at a
     distance D km/s the exposure time required to receive 5 photons per mbar_I is t
     = 6000 sec (D/3000 km/s)^2 10^[1.6(V-I)-1.20]. The individual exposures will be
     CR-split. We will request offsets of a few pixels between the exposures to
     improve flat-fielding and rejection of any residual hot pixels or other CCD
     defects.

  Real Time Justification
  -----------------------

     None. We have ground-based V and I images of many of the targets, and we will
     obtain V and I photometry for the rest at LCO or CTIO. We have extensive
     (>1500) SBF observations of nearby galaxies which we have used to verify the
     method and understand systematics. Compared to ground based observations with
     poor seeing, HST data will be much easier to work with.

  Calibration Justification
  -------------------------


  Additional Comments
  -------------------

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                                                6579( 10) - 03/12/97 14:57  - [  3]

  Data Distribution

  Media:           8MM
  Blocking Factor: 10
  Ship To:         PI_Address
  Ship Via:
  Email:
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                                                6579( 10) - 03/12/97 14:57  - [  4]

TARGET LIST    a) Fixed Targets
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Tar|   Target   |         Target        |            Target              |Coord   | Radial |             Flux data
No |    Name    |       Description     |           Position             |Eqnx    |  Vel.  |
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1   NGC4767      GALAXY,ELLIPTICAL       RA=12H 53M 52.84S +/- 1",DEC=-   J2000    V = 2997 SURF(V) = 21.4+/-0.3
                                         39D 42' 49.7" +/- 1",PLATE-
                                         ID=0162

2   NGC4709      GALAXY,ELLIPTICAL       RA=12H 50M 03.96S +/- 1",DEC=-   J2000    V = 4683 SURF(V) = 21.4+/-0.3
                                         41D 22' 53.7" +/- 1",PLATE-
                                         ID=0162

3   NGC5516      GALAXY,ELLIPTICAL       RA=14H 15M 54.69S +/- 1",DEC=-   J2000    V = 4460 SURF(V) = 21.4+/-0.3
                                         48D 06' 53.7" +/- 1",PLATE-
                                         ID=01F7

4   ESO507-G045  GALAXY,ELLIPTICAL       RA=12H 55M 35.60S +/- 1",DEC=-   J2000    V = 4825 SURF(V) = 21.4+/-0.3
                                         26D 49' 30.2" +/- 1",PLATE-
                                         ID=04LL

5   NGC6876      GALAXY,ELLIPTICAL       RA=20H 18M 19.04S +/- 1",DEC=-   J2000    V = 3836 SURF(V) = 21.4+/-0.3
                                         70D 51' 30.1" +/- 1",PLATE-
                                         ID=01CB

                                                6579( 10) - 03/12/97 14:57  - [  5]

Visit: 01
     Visit Requirements:  <none>
     On Hold Comments:    <none>
     Additional Comments: <none>


Exposures
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Exposure|   Target  |Instr | Oper. | Aper  |Spectral|Central|             Optional            |Num|  Time |       Special
 Number |    Name   |Config| Mode  |or FOV |Element |Waveln.|            Parameters           |Exp|       |     Requirements
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101      NGC4767     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1100 S  POS TARG 0.00,0.00
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102      NGC4767     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1200 S  POS TARG 0.8969,0.0946
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103      NGC4767     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1100 S  POS TARG 1.0010,0.8908
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104      NGC4767     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG 0.1052,0.9954
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105      NGC4767     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1100 S  POS TARG -0.8903,1.1006
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106      NGC4767     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG -0.9965,-0.0940
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                                                6579( 10) - 03/12/97 14:57  - [  6]

Visit: 02
     Visit Requirements:  ORIENT 240D TO 40D
     On Hold Comments:    <none>
     Additional Comments: <none>


Exposures
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Exposure|   Target  |Instr | Oper. | Aper  |Spectral|Central|             Optional            |Num|  Time |       Special
 Number |    Name   |Config| Mode  |or FOV |Element |Waveln.|            Parameters           |Exp|       |     Requirements
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201      NGC4709     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1100 S  POS TARG 0.00,0.00
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202      NGC4709     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG 0.8969,0.0946
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203      NGC4709     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1200 S  POS TARG 1.0010,0.8908
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204      NGC4709     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG 0.1052,0.9954
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205      NGC4709     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1200 S  POS TARG -0.8903,1.1006
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206      NGC4709     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG -0.9965,-0.0940
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                                                6579( 10) - 03/12/97 14:57  - [  7]

Visit: 03
     Visit Requirements:  <none>
     On Hold Comments:    <none>
     Additional Comments: <none>


Exposures
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Exposure|   Target  |Instr | Oper. | Aper  |Spectral|Central|             Optional            |Num|  Time |       Special
 Number |    Name   |Config| Mode  |or FOV |Element |Waveln.|            Parameters           |Exp|       |     Requirements
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301      NGC5516     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1100 S  POS TARG 0.00,0.00
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302      NGC5516     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG 0.8969,0.0946
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303      NGC5516     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1200 S  POS TARG 1.0010,0.8908
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304      NGC5516     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG 0.1052,0.9954
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305      NGC5516     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1200 S  POS TARG -0.8903,1.1006
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306      NGC5516     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG -0.9965,-0.0940
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307      NGC5516     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1200 S  POS TARG -1.1006,-0.8903
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308      NGC5516     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG -0.1052,-0.9954
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309      NGC5516     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1200 S  POS TARG 1.0895,-1.1017
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310      NGC5516     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG 1.8857,-1.2058
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311      NGC5516     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1200 S  POS TARG 1.9931,0.1881
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312      NGC5516     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG 2.0982,1.1835
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                                                6579( 10) - 03/12/97 14:57  - [  8]

Visit: 04
     Visit Requirements:  <none>
     On Hold Comments:    <none>
     Additional Comments: <none>


Exposures
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Exposure|   Target  |Instr | Oper. | Aper  |Spectral|Central|             Optional            |Num|  Time |       Special
 Number |    Name   |Config| Mode  |or FOV |Element |Waveln.|            Parameters           |Exp|       |     Requirements
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401      ESO507-G045 WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1000 S  POS TARG 0.00,0.00
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402      ESO507-G045 WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG 0.8969,0.0946
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403      ESO507-G045 WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1100 S  POS TARG 1.0010,0.8908
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404      ESO507-G045 WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG 0.1052,0.9954
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405      ESO507-G045 WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1100 S  POS TARG -0.8903,1.1006
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406      ESO507-G045 WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG -0.9965,-0.0940
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407      ESO507-G045 WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1100 S  POS TARG -1.1006,-0.8903
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408      ESO507-G045 WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG -0.1052,-0.9954
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409      ESO507-G045 WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1100 S  POS TARG 1.0895,-1.1017
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410      ESO507-G045 WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG 1.8857,-1.2058
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411      ESO507-G045 WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1100 S  POS TARG 1.9931,0.1881
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412      ESO507-G045 WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG 2.0982,1.1835
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                                                6579( 10) - 03/12/97 14:57  - [  9]

Visit: 05
     Visit Requirements:  CVZ ORIENT 180D TO 335D
     On Hold Comments:    <none>
     Additional Comments: <none>


Exposures
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Exposure|   Target  |Instr | Oper. | Aper  |Spectral|Central|             Optional            |Num|  Time |       Special
 Number |    Name   |Config| Mode  |or FOV |Element |Waveln.|            Parameters           |Exp|       |     Requirements
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
501      NGC6876     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1200 S  POS TARG 0.00,0.00
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502      NGC6876     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1200 S  POS TARG 0.8969,0.0946
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503      NGC6876     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1200 S  POS TARG 1.0010,0.8908
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504      NGC6876     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1200 S  POS TARG 0.1052,0.9954
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
505      NGC6876     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1200 S  POS TARG -0.8903,1.1006
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506      NGC6876     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1300 S  POS TARG -0.9965,-0.0940
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507      NGC6876     WFPC2  IMAGE   PC1     F814W            CR-SPLIT=NO                       1   1200 S  POS TARG -1.1006,-0.8903
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                                                6579( 10) - 03/12/97 14:57  - [ 10]

            Summary Form for Proposal  6579

  Item                         Used in this proposal
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  Configurations               WFPC2
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  Opmodes                      IMAGE
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  Optional Parameters          CR-SPLIT=NO
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  Proposal Category            GO
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  Scientific Category          COSMOLOGY
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  Special Requirements         POS TARG 0.00,0.00 POS TARG 0.8969,0.0946 POS TARG 1.0010,0.8908 POS TARG 0.1052,0.9954 POS TARG
                               -0.8903,1.1006 POS TARG -0.9965,-0.0940 ORIENT 240D TO 40D POS TARG -1.1006,-0.8903 POS TARG
                               -0.1052,-0.9954 POS TARG 1.0895,-1.1017 POS TARG 1.8857,-1.2058 POS TARG 1.9931,0.1881 POS TARG
                               2.0982,1.1835 CVZ ORIENT 180D TO 335D
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  Spectral Elements            F814W
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  Target Names                 NGC4767 NGC4709 NGC5516 ESO507-G045 NGC6876
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